Kelty Hearts 0-2 Montrose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

Kelty Hearts
0-2 HT 0-0
Montrose
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Kelty Hearts vs Montrose Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.47
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.43
6+ Goals
8%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 33% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
47%
-12.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.2pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kelty Hearts v Montrose — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Montrose EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +25%
1.09/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.25
-33% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
8.0 Crosses 0.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Kelty Hearts vs Montrose Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Montrose
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
The Meetings
03.08.2024 Montrose Montrose 1-1 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
17.02.2024 Montrose Montrose 4-2 HT 2-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
16.12.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-1 HT 0-1 Montrose Montrose İK1
05.08.2023 Montrose Montrose 0-2 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
18.03.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-2 HT 1-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
28.01.2023 Montrose Montrose 3-3 HT 2-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Montrose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montrose beat Kelty Hearts 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Montrose found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montrose led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kelty Hearts and 1.83 for Montrose.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Montrose?

Kelty Hearts 0-2 Montrose in the Scotland - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Montrose?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montrose win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 35%, draw 29%, Montrose 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montrose), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montrose) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK1 More Scotland - 1st Division
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Cove Rangers vs Queen Of The South Analysis →
00:00 Arbroath vs Dumbarton Analysis →
17:00 Inverness CT vs Annan Athletic Analysis →
19:30 Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic Analysis →