Arbroath vs Dumbarton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arbroath v Dumbarton — Team-Based Signals
Arbroath vs Dumbarton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Dumbarton
İK1
2-0
HT 1-0
Arbroath
İK1
3-1
HT 0-1
Dumbarton
İK1
1-1
HT 0-1
Arbroath
İK1
1-1
HT 1-1
Arbroath
İK1
Dumbarton saw off Arbroath 3-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Dumbarton made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arbroath and 1.33 for Dumbarton.
What was the final score of Arbroath vs Dumbarton?
Arbroath 1-3 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Dumbarton?
Before kick-off our model rated an Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 34%, draw 30%, Dumbarton 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dumbarton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.