Stenhousemuir 0-1 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

Stenhousemuir
0-1 HT 0-0
Alloa Athletic
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.86
Over 2.5
57%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.56
6+ Goals
11%
14.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.56 — our 30% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
50%
-6.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
50%
+6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stenhousemuir v Alloa Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.93/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.41
+21% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
110 · 94% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 102 · 94%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 11.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
25.07.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-3 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKLK
14.11.2020 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 4-2 HT 0-2 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
18.11.2017 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-2 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKK
11.03.2017 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-1 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
31.12.2016 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-4 HT 1-3 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
FAQ Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Alloa Athletic edged past Stenhousemuir 1-0 away from home in the Scotland - 1st Division on 19 Oct 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic lead the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stenhousemuir and 2.67 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic?

Stenhousemuir 0-1 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 38%, draw 24%, Alloa Athletic 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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