Kelty Hearts 0-3 Montrose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 33% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Montrose EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.02/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.43
-30% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 0.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Montrose
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
09.08.2025 Montrose Montrose 1-2 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
08.03.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
04.01.2025 Montrose Montrose 0-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
19.10.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-2 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
03.08.2024 Montrose Montrose 1-1 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
17.02.2024 Montrose Montrose 4-2 HT 2-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Montrose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montrose cruised past Kelty Hearts 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Montrose found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montrose led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kelty Hearts and 1.33 for Montrose.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Montrose?

Kelty Hearts 0-3 Montrose in the Scotland - 1st Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Montrose?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montrose win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 35%, draw 29%, Montrose 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montrose), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montrose) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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