Chertsey Town 2-1 Dorchester Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chertsey Town EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
2.10/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.61
+22% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chertsey Town
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Dorchester Town
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.11.2025 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chertsey Town Chertsey Town İNGNLP
15.03.2025 Chertsey Town Chertsey Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
21.09.2024 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Chertsey Town Chertsey Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chertsey Town
2-1
AWAY Dorchester Town
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chertsey Town vs Dorchester Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chertsey Town edged past Dorchester Town 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chertsey Town as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chertsey Town had 46% of the ball to Dorchester Town's 54%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dorchester Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Chertsey Town and 1.33 for Dorchester Town.

What was the final score of Chertsey Town vs Dorchester Town?

Chertsey Town 2-1 Dorchester Town in the England - Non League Premier on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chertsey Town vs Dorchester Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chertsey Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chertsey Town 50%, draw 25%, Dorchester Town 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chertsey Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chertsey Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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