Alvechurch 1-2 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
45%
+5.1pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.9pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.21/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.49
-25% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Stourbridge
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2025 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-0 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
26.10.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNFAT
28.09.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-2 HT 1-2 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
16.03.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
23.01.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
06.03.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-2 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alvechurch
1-2
AWAY Stourbridge
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stourbridge edged past Alvechurch 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Alvechurch at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Alvechurch had 49% of the ball to Stourbridge's 51%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alvechurch and 0.67 for Stourbridge.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?

Alvechurch 1-2 Stourbridge in the England - Non League Premier on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 50%, draw 21%, Stourbridge 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alvechurch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✓ BTTS Yes
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