Alvechurch 1-0 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 45%
+17% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +7%
1.82/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.46
+21% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Stourbridge
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.01.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
06.03.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-2 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
06.08.2022 Alvechurch Alvechurch 3-0 HT 0-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
02.04.2022 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-1 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
30.11.2021 Alvechurch Alvechurch 5-1 HT 5-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch squeezed past Stourbridge 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Stourbridge at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alvechurch had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Alvechurch and 0.40 for Stourbridge.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?

Alvechurch 1-0 Stourbridge in the England - Non League Premier on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 32%, draw 24%, Stourbridge 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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