Stourbridge 1-0 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Jan 2024

Stourbridge
1-0
Alvechurch
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Stourbridge vs Alvechurch Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stourbridge v Alvechurch — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.75/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.80
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4

Stourbridge vs Alvechurch Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stourbridge
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Alvechurch
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.03.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-2 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
06.08.2022 Alvechurch Alvechurch 3-0 HT 0-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
02.04.2022 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-1 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
30.11.2021 Alvechurch Alvechurch 5-1 HT 5-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stourbridge vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stourbridge squeezed past Alvechurch 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stourbridge as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alvechurch led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Stourbridge and 2.75 for Alvechurch.

What was the final score of Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?

Stourbridge 1-0 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 54%, draw 24%, Alvechurch 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stourbridge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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