AFC Telford United 1-1 Coalville Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Coalville Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.95/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.72
+23% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Coalville Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
02.09.2023 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 0-1 Coalville Town Coalville Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
1-1
AWAY Coalville Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Coalville Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United and Coalville Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 47% of the ball to Coalville Town's 53%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Coalville Town?

AFC Telford United 1-1 Coalville Town in the England - Non League Premier on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Coalville Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coalville Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 33%, draw 30%, Coalville Town 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Coalville Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coalville Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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