Poole Town 1-0 Swindon Supermarine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.43
No
36%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
66%
-1.8pp
36%
BTTS No
34%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poole Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.74/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.27
-9% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
417 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Poole Town
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-7 HT 2-4 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
19.04.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-1 HT 0-1 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
07.02.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
29.01.2022 Poole Town Poole Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
09.10.2021 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 0-1 HT 0-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Poole Town vs Swindon Supermarine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poole Town nicked a narrow win over Swindon Supermarine 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Poole Town as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Poole Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Poole Town and 1.40 for Swindon Supermarine.

What was the final score of Poole Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Poole Town 1-0 Swindon Supermarine in the England - Non League Premier on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poole Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Poole Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Poole Town 52%, draw 23%, Swindon Supermarine 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Poole Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Poole Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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