Alvechurch 1-2 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 40%
+15% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.58/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.34
+5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
262 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Stourbridge
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
23.01.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
06.03.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-2 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
06.08.2022 Alvechurch Alvechurch 3-0 HT 0-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
02.04.2022 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-1 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
30.11.2021 Alvechurch Alvechurch 5-1 HT 5-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stourbridge edged past Alvechurch 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Stourbridge made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alvechurch had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alvechurch and 0.33 for Stourbridge.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?

Alvechurch 1-2 Stourbridge in the England - Non League Premier on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 32%, draw 29%, Stourbridge 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stourbridge), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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