Ilkeston Town 2-2 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +16%
2.31/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.79
+42% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ashton United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.11.2023 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 2-2 HT 2-2 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilkeston Town
2-2
AWAY Ashton United
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town and Ashton United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ilkeston Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ilkeston Town had 46% of the ball to Ashton United's 54%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Ashton United?

Ilkeston Town 2-2 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 43%, draw 27%, Ashton United 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilkeston Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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