Merthyr Town 6-0 Wimborne Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merthyr Town EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Wimborne Town EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
2.75/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/2.00
+34% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merthyr Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Wimborne Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
12.03.2022 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Wimborne Town Wimborne Town İNGNLP
26.10.2021 Wimborne Town Wimborne Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Merthyr Town vs Wimborne Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merthyr Town ran out comfortable winners over Wimborne Town 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Merthyr Town as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Merthyr Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Merthyr Town and 0.50 for Wimborne Town.

What was the final score of Merthyr Town vs Wimborne Town?

Merthyr Town 6-0 Wimborne Town in the England - Non League Premier on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merthyr Town vs Wimborne Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merthyr Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Merthyr Town 52%, draw 24%, Wimborne Town 24%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merthyr Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merthyr Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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