Blyth Spartans 0-2 Basford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blyth Spartans EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Basford United EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
0.51/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.27
-68% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blyth Spartans
0-2
AWAY Basford United
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Blyth Spartans vs Basford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basford United beat Blyth Spartans 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Basford United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Blyth Spartans had 52% of the ball to Basford United's 48%, shots finished 6-14.

What was the final score of Blyth Spartans vs Basford United?

Blyth Spartans 0-2 Basford United in the England - Non League Premier on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blyth Spartans vs Basford United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basford United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Blyth Spartans 34%, draw 27%, Basford United 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basford United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basford United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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