Stourbridge 0-1 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.98
2-3 Goals
48%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.91
6+ Goals
7%
17.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stourbridge
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Alvechurch
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-2 HT 1-2 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
16.03.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
23.01.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
06.03.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-2 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
06.08.2022 Alvechurch Alvechurch 3-0 HT 0-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
02.04.2022 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-1 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stourbridge vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch nicked a narrow win over Stourbridge 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Stourbridge at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alvechurch led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stourbridge and 1.33 for Alvechurch.

What was the final score of Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?

Stourbridge 0-1 Alvechurch in the England - FA Cup on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 41%, draw 30%, Alvechurch 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stourbridge), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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