Lewes 2-2 Ashford Utd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 26 Oct 2024

Lewes
2-2
Ashford Utd
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Lewes vs Ashford Utd Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
14%
9.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lewes v Ashford Utd — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lewes EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashford Utd EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
416 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Lewes vs Ashford Utd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lewes and Ashford Utd shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Lewes carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Lewes vs Ashford Utd?

Lewes 2-2 Ashford Utd in the England - FA Cup on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lewes vs Ashford Utd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lewes win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lewes 55%, draw 24%, Ashford Utd 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lewes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lewes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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