Halesowen Town 4-1 Congleton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.93
4-5 Goals
21%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
7.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halesowen Town EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Congleton Town EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
393 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Halesowen Town vs Congleton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halesowen Town ran out comfortable winners over Congleton Town 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Halesowen Town as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Halesowen Town vs Congleton Town?

Halesowen Town 4-1 Congleton Town in the England - FA Cup on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halesowen Town vs Congleton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Halesowen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Halesowen Town 54%, draw 23%, Congleton Town 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Halesowen Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Halesowen Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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