Stourbridge 1-0 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
45%
-10.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.20/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.53
-26% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stourbridge
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Alvechurch
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNFAT
28.09.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-2 HT 1-2 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
16.03.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
23.01.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
06.03.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-2 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
06.08.2022 Alvechurch Alvechurch 3-0 HT 0-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stourbridge vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stourbridge edged past Alvechurch 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Stourbridge found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alvechurch led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stourbridge and 1.33 for Alvechurch.

What was the final score of Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?

Stourbridge 1-0 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 34%, draw 30%, Alvechurch 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alvechurch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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