St Ives Town 1-3 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.72/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.57
+13% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Ives Town
1W-2D-0L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 0-0 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
30.03.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 2-4 HT 1-1 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
14.08.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-1 HT 1-1 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Ives Town
1-3
AWAY AFC Sudbury
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH St Ives Town vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury saw off St Ives Town 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; AFC Sudbury found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, St Ives Town had 48% of the ball to AFC Sudbury's 52%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, St Ives Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St Ives Town and 1.00 for AFC Sudbury.

What was the final score of St Ives Town vs AFC Sudbury?

St Ives Town 1-3 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Ives Town vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Ives Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St Ives Town 38%, draw 31%, AFC Sudbury 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St Ives Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Ives Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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