AFC Telford United 3-0 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 29%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.99/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.73
+17% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Barwell
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2024 Barwell Barwell 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
23.12.2023 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 2-1 HT 1-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
26.08.2023 Barwell Barwell 3-1 HT 2-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
3-0
AWAY Barwell
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United cruised past Barwell 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Telford United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 48% of the ball to Barwell's 52%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barwell led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Telford United and 2.00 for Barwell.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Barwell?

AFC Telford United 3-0 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 47%, draw 26%, Barwell 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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