Worksop Town 4-1 Lancaster City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-14.8pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.9pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
2.75/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.82
+32% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
413 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worksop Town
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Lancaster City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Lancaster City Lancaster City 0-0 HT 0-0 Worksop Town Worksop Town İNGNLP
23.12.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 0-0 HT 0-0 Worksop Town Worksop Town İNGNLP
19.08.2023 Worksop Town Worksop Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worksop Town
4-1
AWAY Lancaster City
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Worksop Town vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worksop Town cruised past Lancaster City 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Worksop Town as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Worksop Town had 65% of the ball to Lancaster City's 35%, shots finished 16-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Worksop Town and 0.00 for Lancaster City.

What was the final score of Worksop Town vs Lancaster City?

Worksop Town 4-1 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worksop Town vs Lancaster City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Worksop Town 51%, draw 25%, Lancaster City 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worksop Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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