Doncaster Rovers 0-1 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
13%
8.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.65
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
10%
6.81
X/2
14%
5.16
X/X
7%
5.35
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
18%
2.91
2/X
8%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.65 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 48%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.18/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.11
+32% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
281 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
17.8 Crosses 19.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Stockport County
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.12 xG 1.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
269 Passes 270
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2025 Stockport County Stockport County 4-2 HT 1-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
09.12.2025 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
27.01.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-5 HT 0-3 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
07.10.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 1-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
04.03.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
16.08.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
0-1
AWAY Stockport County
0.45 xG 1.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
277 Passes 274
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County edged past Doncaster Rovers 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 40%) promised a tight game; Stockport County found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 50% of the ball to Stockport County's 50%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.45 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stockport County led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 2.17 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County?

Doncaster Rovers 0-1 Stockport County in the England - Futbol League Cup on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 38%, draw 22%, Stockport County 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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