Stockport County 4-2 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Dec 2025

📅29/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.57
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
13%
4.59
X/2
13%
7.94
X/X
13%
5.12
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.55
2/2
11%
5.96
2/X
7%
14.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.55 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.72/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.30
-2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
25.2 Crosses 21.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 1.01
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
265 Passes 284
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2025 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
27.01.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-5 HT 0-3 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
07.10.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 1-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
04.03.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
16.08.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
16.04.2005 Stockport County Stockport County 2-4 HT 2-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
4-2
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.89 xG 1.68
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
293 Passes 190
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County beat Doncaster Rovers 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Stockport County had 59% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 41%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.89 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stockport County had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stockport County and 1.17 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Doncaster Rovers?

Stockport County 4-2 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 29/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 43%, draw 27%, Doncaster Rovers 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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