Barnsley 0-2 Lincoln City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Dec 2025

📅29/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.32
6+ Goals
13%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.87
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
12%
5.89
X/2
10%
5.71
X/X
11%
4.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
28.5
2/2
22%
3.69
2/X
5%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.7pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnsley EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.12/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.13
+33% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +31%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
253 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.3 Crosses 14.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lincoln City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.14 xG 1.71
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
405 Passes 240
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.12.2025 Lincoln City Lincoln City 3-1 HT 1-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
11.11.2025 Barnsley Barnsley 0-2 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İNTK
01.03.2025 Barnsley Barnsley 4-3 HT 2-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
17.08.2024 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-2 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
09.03.2024 Barnsley Barnsley 1-5 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
25.11.2023 Lincoln City Lincoln City 2-2 HT 1-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnsley
0-2
AWAY Lincoln City
0.82 xG 0.57
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
439 Passes 231
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barnsley vs Lincoln City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln City beat Barnsley 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Lincoln City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barnsley had 62% of the ball to Lincoln City's 38%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.82 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lincoln City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Barnsley and 2.67 for Lincoln City.

What was the final score of Barnsley vs Lincoln City?

Barnsley 0-2 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 29/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnsley vs Lincoln City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Barnsley 37%, draw 24%, Lincoln City 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
29 Dec 2025
22:45 Peterborough United vs Reading Analysis →
22:45 AFC Wimbledon vs Exeter City Analysis →
22:45 Luton Town vs Leyton Orient Analysis →
22:45 Burton Albion vs Wigan Athletic Analysis →
22:45 Bradford City vs Port Vale Analysis →
22:45 Blackpool vs Rotherham United Analysis →