Peterborough United 1-1 Reading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Dec 2025

📅29/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.49
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
14%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.22
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
10%
5.38
X/2
17%
6.67
X/X
11%
4.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
14%
4.5
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Reading EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +18%
1.57/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.32
+24% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
330 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
17.5 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Reading
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.53 xG 1.45
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
384 Passes 277
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2025 Reading Reading 1-2 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
29.03.2025 Reading Reading 3-1 HT 1-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
23.11.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-2 HT 0-2 Reading Reading İN1
26.12.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-2 HT 1-0 Reading Reading İN1
05.08.2023 Reading Reading 0-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
16.02.2022 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-0 HT 0-0 Reading Reading İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
1-1
AWAY Reading
2.20 xG 0.71
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
471 Passes 184
89% Pass Accuracy 67%
39 Box Touches 5
31 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Reading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United and Reading shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Peterborough United had 67% of the ball to Reading's 33%, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 2.20 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Peterborough United and 1.33 for Reading.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Reading?

Peterborough United 1-1 Reading in the England - 1st Division on 29/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Reading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 41%, draw 23%, Reading 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Peterborough United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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