Peterborough United 1-2 Reading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

Peterborough United
1-2 HT 0-2
Reading
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Peterborough United vs Reading Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.84
2-3 Goals
39%
2.06
4-5 Goals
27%
2.64
6+ Goals
13%
6.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.78
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
1/X
9%
12.45
X/1
13%
5.28
X/2
12%
7.27
X/X
7%
5.97
2/1
7%
21.7
2/2
13%
4.34
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.2pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough United v Reading — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Reading EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -9%
1.44/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.34
+11% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 74%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
21.5 Crosses 18.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Peterborough United vs Reading Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Reading
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.15 xG 0.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
377 Passes 291
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 14
36 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.12.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-2 HT 1-0 Reading Reading İN1
05.08.2023 Reading Reading 0-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
16.02.2022 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-0 HT 0-0 Reading Reading İNCL
14.09.2021 Reading Reading 3-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İNCL
27.08.2013 Peterborough United Peterborough United 6-0 HT 3-0 Reading Reading İNLK
28.08.2012 Reading Reading 3-2 HT 3-2 Peterborough United Peterborough United İNLK

Peterborough United 1-2 Reading — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
1-2
AWAY Reading
2.28 xG 2.15
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
453 Passes 253
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Reading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reading squeezed past Peterborough United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Peterborough United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Peterborough United had 62% of the ball to Reading's 38%, shots finished 21-17, expected goals 2.28 to 2.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Peterborough United and 1.33 for Reading.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Reading?

Peterborough United 1-2 Reading in the England - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Reading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 45%, draw 22%, Reading 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Peterborough United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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