Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Blackpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
9.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.15 — our 28% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.33
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
16%
4.38
X/2
6%
8.94
X/X
12%
5.36
2/1
12%
22.55
2/2
16%
6.36
2/X
10%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackpool EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +20%
1.72/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.14
+14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +51%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 67%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
20.9 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolton Wanderers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Blackpool
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 1.37
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
351 Passes 247
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 4-1 HT 2-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
30.01.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 0-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNTK
11.11.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
25.02.2020 Blackpool Blackpool 2-1 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
07.10.2019 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
04.10.2016 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolton Wanderers
2-1
AWAY Blackpool
1.23 xG 0.87
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
304 Passes 174
74% Pass Accuracy 60%
15 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bolton Wanderers vs Blackpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Blackpool 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 58% of the ball to Blackpool's 42%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.23 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.00 for Blackpool.

What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Blackpool?

Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Blackpool in the England - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Blackpool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 43%, draw 28%, Blackpool 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
23 Nov 2024
15:30 Shrewsbury vs Birmingham Analysis →
15:30 Stevenage vs Leyton Orient Analysis →
18:00 Crawley Town vs Rotherham United Analysis →
18:00 Huddersfield Town vs Charlton Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Peterborough United vs Reading Analysis →
18:00 Northampton Town vs Cambridge United Analysis →