Crawley Town 1-0 Rotherham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

Crawley Town
1-0 HT 1-0
Rotherham United
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Crawley Town vs Rotherham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 26% vs market 24.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.71
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
10%
6.59
X/2
15%
4.79
X/X
9%
4.82
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.02
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crawley Town v Rotherham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
0.61/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.04
-13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
263 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 64%
10.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
13.6 Crosses 24.7
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Crawley Town vs Rotherham United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Rotherham United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
The Meetings
25.01.2014 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-2 HT 1-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN1
17.08.2013 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
24.03.2012 Crawley Town Crawley Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN2
26.11.2011 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-2 HT 1-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2

Crawley Town 1-0 Rotherham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
1-0
AWAY Rotherham United
0.80 xG 0.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
351 Passes 246
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Rotherham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crawley Town nicked a narrow win over Rotherham United 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Crawley Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Crawley Town had 55% of the ball to Rotherham United's 45%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.80 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Crawley Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Crawley Town and 1.25 for Rotherham United.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Rotherham United?

Crawley Town 1-0 Rotherham United in the England - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Rotherham United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rotherham United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 35%, draw 25%, Rotherham United 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rotherham United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rotherham United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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