AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Exeter City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Dec 2025

📅29/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.81
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.65
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
12%
5.03
X/2
16%
5.88
X/X
14%
3.93
2/1
9%
33.0
2/2
14%
4.63
2/X
8%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Exeter City EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.15/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.26
-21% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
243 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 70%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
23.2 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Exeter City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.64 xG 0.72
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
176 Passes 395
65% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2025 Exeter City Exeter City 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
28.12.2015 Exeter City Exeter City 0-2 HT 0-2 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
29.08.2015 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-1 HT 1-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
14.03.2015 Exeter City Exeter City 3-2 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
28.12.2014 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 4-1 HT 1-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
25.01.2014 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-1 HT 1-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Wimbledon
0-1
AWAY Exeter City
0.88 xG 0.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
261 Passes 331
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AFC Wimbledon vs Exeter City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Exeter City edged past AFC Wimbledon 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Exeter City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, AFC Wimbledon had 46% of the ball to Exeter City's 54%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.88 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Wimbledon had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AFC Wimbledon and 1.17 for Exeter City.

What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Exeter City?

AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Exeter City in the England - 1st Division on 29/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Wimbledon vs Exeter City?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 36%, draw 27%, Exeter City 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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