Bradford City 1-0 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Dec 2025

📅29/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 29% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.24
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.1
X/1
19%
4.14
X/2
7%
9.55
X/X
16%
4.9
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
7%
8.0
2/X
4%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.73/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.22
-14% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 67%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
21.1 Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Port Vale
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.03 xG 1.03
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
265 Passes 218
66% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2025 Port Vale Port Vale 2-0 HT 2-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
26.12.2024 Bradford City Bradford City 2-1 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
19.03.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 1-2 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
13.11.2021 Port Vale Port Vale 1-1 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
24.04.2021 Port Vale Port Vale 2-1 HT 2-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
29.12.2020 Bradford City Bradford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
1-0
AWAY Port Vale
0.69 xG 0.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 3
238 Passes 158
63% Pass Accuracy 53%
13 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Port Vale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City squeezed past Port Vale 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bradford City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bradford City had 56% of the ball to Port Vale's 44%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.69 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bradford City and 1.33 for Port Vale.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Port Vale?

Bradford City 1-0 Port Vale in the England - 1st Division on 29/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Port Vale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 53%, draw 25%, Port Vale 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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