Bradford City 2-1 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.64
Over 2.5
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 35% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.38
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
8%
4.75
X/2
12%
6.02
X/X
19%
4.1
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
13%
4.7
2/X
10%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.8pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +23%
1.36/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.14
-1% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
285 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 63%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
21.7 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Port Vale
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.11 xG 1.19
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 Passes 208
66% Pass Accuracy 60%
24 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.03.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 1-2 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
13.11.2021 Port Vale Port Vale 1-1 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
24.04.2021 Port Vale Port Vale 2-1 HT 2-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
29.12.2020 Bradford City Bradford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
22.10.2019 Bradford City Bradford City 1-2 HT 1-1 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
25.02.2017 Port Vale Port Vale 1-2 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
2-1
AWAY Port Vale
0.77 xG 0.76
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
188 Passes 273
64% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Port Vale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City nicked a narrow win over Port Vale 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Bradford City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bradford City had 42% of the ball to Port Vale's 58%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.77 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bradford City and 1.33 for Port Vale.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Port Vale?

Bradford City 2-1 Port Vale in the England - 2nd Division on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Port Vale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 34%, draw 33%, Port Vale 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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