Barnsley 0-2 Lincoln City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 11 Nov 2025

📅11/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnsley EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 36%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.81/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.99
-54% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
11.1 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lincoln City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.99 xG 1.35
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
356 Passes 245
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.03.2025 Barnsley Barnsley 4-3 HT 2-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
17.08.2024 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-2 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
09.03.2024 Barnsley Barnsley 1-5 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
25.11.2023 Lincoln City Lincoln City 2-2 HT 1-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
18.04.2023 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-0 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
25.10.2022 Barnsley Barnsley 0-1 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnsley
0-2
AWAY Lincoln City
1.12 xG 1.82
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
609 Passes 249
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Barnsley vs Lincoln City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln City got the better of Barnsley 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barnsley at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barnsley had 68% of the ball to Lincoln City's 32%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.12 to 1.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Barnsley and 2.00 for Lincoln City.

What was the final score of Barnsley vs Lincoln City?

Barnsley 0-2 Lincoln City in the England - Futbol League Cup on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnsley vs Lincoln City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnsley win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Barnsley 42%, draw 23%, Lincoln City 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barnsley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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