Doncaster Rovers 1-5 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 27 Jan 2024

Doncaster Rovers
1-5 HT 0-3
Stockport County
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.48
1/2
8%
25.0
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
9%
8.27
X/2
14%
4.12
X/X
8%
4.57
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
26%
2.44
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Doncaster Rovers v Stockport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 54%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
0.91/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.80
+7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
260 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 68%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
14.0 Crosses 20.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Stockport County
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 1.02
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
300 Passes 268
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 1-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
04.03.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
16.08.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
16.04.2005 Stockport County Stockport County 2-4 HT 2-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
20.11.2004 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 3-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1

Doncaster Rovers 1-5 Stockport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
1-5
AWAY Stockport County
1.44 xG 1.77
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
244 Passes 327
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County ran out comfortable winners over Doncaster Rovers 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 44% of the ball to Stockport County's 56%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.44 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Doncaster Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 1.00 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County?

Doncaster Rovers 1-5 Stockport County in the England - 2nd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 28%, draw 23%, Stockport County 48%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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