Grimsby Town 1-2 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.49
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.32
6+ Goals
14%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.92
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
14%
4.77
X/2
7%
6.68
X/X
13%
4.77
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
16%
4.69
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.39/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.43
-21% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.6 Crosses 18.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.11 xG 1.24
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
222 Passes 283
62% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-2 HT 1-2 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
22.04.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
10.12.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
17.03.2021 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
21.11.2020 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 5-0 HT 4-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
12.03.2019 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 4-1 HT 4-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
1-2
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.17 xG 0.46
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
269 Passes 184
71% Pass Accuracy 60%
28 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grimsby Town vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers nicked a narrow win over Grimsby Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Grimsby Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 55% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 45%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.17 to 0.46 — on chances, Grimsby Town could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Grimsby Town and 2.33 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Tranmere Rovers?

Grimsby Town 1-2 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 45%, draw 24%, Tranmere Rovers 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grimsby Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grimsby Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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