Forest Green Rovers 0-1 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 27 Jan 2024

Forest Green Rovers
0-1 HT 0-1
Accrington Stanley
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Forest Green Rovers vs Accrington Stanley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 26% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.38
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
10%
5.36
X/2
10%
5.9
X/X
12%
4.86
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
22%
3.85
2/X
8%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forest Green Rovers v Accrington Stanley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -24%
1.58/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.61
+6% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 69%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.0 Crosses 23.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5

Forest Green Rovers vs Accrington Stanley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.11 xG 1.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
235 Passes 271
67% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-1 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
04.03.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-1 HT 1-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN1
06.09.2022 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
17.03.2018 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 3-1 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
30.09.2017 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
07.04.2006 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İBSL

Forest Green Rovers 0-1 Accrington Stanley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
0-1
AWAY Accrington Stanley
0.94 xG 1.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
321 Passes 240
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley nicked a narrow win over Forest Green Rovers 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Accrington Stanley found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 56% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 44%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.94 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 1.67 for Accrington Stanley.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Accrington Stanley?

Forest Green Rovers 0-1 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 35%, draw 27%, Accrington Stanley 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Accrington Stanley) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Accrington Stanley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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