Walsall 1-1 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.91
6+ Goals
10%
17.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.27
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.15
X/1
18%
3.84
X/2
7%
9.08
X/X
15%
4.61
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
10%
7.47
2/X
5%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 23%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -25%
1.67/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.62
-29% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 68%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
22.7 Crosses 15.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Sutton United
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.72 xG 1.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
180 Passes 221
58% Pass Accuracy 63%
16 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Sutton United Sutton United 4-0 HT 4-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
01.04.2023 Walsall Walsall 1-1 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
22.10.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 1-1 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
12.03.2022 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
30.10.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 0-1 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
1-1
AWAY Sutton United
0.81 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
202 Passes 195
66% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 31
24 Crosses 30
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall and Sutton United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Walsall at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Walsall had 50% of the ball to Sutton United's 50%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.81 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Walsall had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Walsall and 1.20 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Sutton United?

Walsall 1-1 Sutton United in the England - 2nd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Walsall 49%, draw 27%, Sutton United 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Walsall), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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