Notts County 1-1 Barrow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 27 Jan 2024

Notts County
1-1 HT 1-1
Barrow
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Notts County vs Barrow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.02
6+ Goals
13%
9.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.66
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
12%
4.66
X/2
11%
7.32
X/X
13%
5.17
2/1
7%
22.6
2/2
12%
4.99
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notts County v Barrow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notts County EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Barrow EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +17%
1.72/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.14
+4% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.4 Crosses 18.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Notts County vs Barrow Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notts County
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Barrow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.39 xG 2.24
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
581 Passes 231
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Barrow Barrow 1-1 HT 0-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
07.03.2020 Barrow Barrow 0-2 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County İBSL
16.11.2019 Notts County Notts County 0-3 HT 0-2 Barrow Barrow İBSL

Notts County 1-1 Barrow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notts County
1-1
AWAY Barrow
0.60 xG 1.57
79% Ball Possession 21%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
748 Passes 137
94% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Notts County vs Barrow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notts County and Barrow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Notts County at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Notts County had 79% of the ball to Barrow's 21%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.60 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Notts County and 1.33 for Barrow.

What was the final score of Notts County vs Barrow?

Notts County 1-1 Barrow in the England - 2nd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notts County vs Barrow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Notts County 42%, draw 26%, Barrow 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Notts County), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Notts County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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