Crewe Alexandra 2-3 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.76
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
14%
4.8
X/2
8%
6.95
X/X
13%
5.34
2/1
8%
22.6
2/2
19%
4.61
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.23/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.19
+38% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 74%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.4 Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Salford City
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
1.36 xG 1.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
314 Passes 373
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Salford City Salford City 4-2 HT 1-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
10.03.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 4-3 HT 2-2 Salford City Salford City İN2
13.08.2022 Salford City Salford City 3-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
26.12.2019 Salford City Salford City 3-1 HT 2-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
21.09.2019 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 4-1 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
2-3
AWAY Salford City
0.86 xG 1.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
210 Passes 172
62% Pass Accuracy 55%
19 Box Touches 51
24 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City squeezed past Crewe Alexandra 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Salford City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 52% of the ball to Salford City's 48%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.86 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Salford City led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 2.80 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Salford City?

Crewe Alexandra 2-3 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 40%, draw 26%, Salford City 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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