Morecambe vs Colchester Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Morecambe v Colchester — Team-Based Signals
Morecambe vs Colchester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Morecambe
İN2
3-0
HT 1-0
Colchester
İN2
1-2
HT 1-1
Morecambe
İN2
1-1
HT 0-1
Colchester
İN2
0-1
HT 0-0
Morecambe
İN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Morecambe
İN2
Morecambe 0-1 Colchester — Actual Match Statistics
Colchester squeezed past Morecambe 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Morecambe at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Morecambe had 52% of the ball to Colchester's 48%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.70 to 1.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured Morecambe.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Morecambe had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Morecambe and 0.50 for Colchester.
What was the final score of Morecambe vs Colchester?
Morecambe 0-1 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Morecambe vs Colchester?
Before kick-off our model rated a Morecambe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 42%, draw 29%, Colchester 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.