Spartak Varna 1-0 Montana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Montana EU Bookmakers 34%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
0.90/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-15% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
247 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Varna
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Montana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Target 13
5 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.09.2025 Montana Montana 1-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Varna
1-0
AWAY Montana
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Spartak Varna vs Montana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Varna squeezed past Montana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Spartak Varna made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Spartak Varna had 54% of the ball to Montana's 46%, shots finished 18-6.

What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs Montana?

Spartak Varna 1-0 Montana in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs Montana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 38%, draw 28%, Montana 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Varna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Varna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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