Botev Plovdiv 2-0 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-3.9pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 19%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.33/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.96
-22% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-3 HT 1-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
12.04.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 3-0 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
04.11.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
2-0
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv got the better of Septemvri Sofia 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Botev Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 62% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 38%, shots finished 21-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Botev Plovdiv had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 0.67 for Septemvri Sofia.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?

Botev Plovdiv 2-0 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 58%, draw 22%, Septemvri Sofia 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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