Botev Plovdiv 3-0 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.8pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 21%
-22% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.12/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.75
-31% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
362 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv ran out comfortable winners over Septemvri Sofia 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Botev Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?

Botev Plovdiv 3-0 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 45%, draw 30%, Septemvri Sofia 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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