CSKA Sofia 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.33
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-16.1pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.6pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.6pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 14%
-19% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.69/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.68
-19% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-2 HT 1-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
26.05.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
03.04.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-2 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
02.10.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
27.05.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
2-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
63% Ball Possession 37%
24 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia got the better of Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 63% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 37%, shots finished 24-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for CSKA Sofia and 1.00 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

CSKA Sofia 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 55%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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