İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 1-2 Fransa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
62%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.06
No
43%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+8.9pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.9pp
62%
Away Win
73%
-10.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
44%
+12.8pp
43%
BTTS No
56%
-12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Fransa (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.08/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.87/0.62
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -24%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 81%
5.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 46.0
9.0 Crosses 25.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fransa (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.36 xG 1.57
29% Ball Possession 72%
4 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
114 Passes 402
55% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 28
5 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
16.07.2024 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 3-1 HT 0-0 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) KAVŞE
05.04.2024 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) KAVŞE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)
1-2
AWAY Fransa (K)
1.02 xG 0.50
26% Ball Possession 74%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
137 Passes 534
63% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) vs Fransa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa (K) edged past İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fransa (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) had 26% of the ball to Fransa (K)'s 74%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.02 to 0.50 — on chances, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) and 1.00 for Fransa (K).

What was the final score of İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) vs Fransa (K)?

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 1-2 Fransa (K) in the Women's World Cup on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) vs Fransa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fransa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 19%, draw 19%, Fransa (K) 62%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fransa (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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