Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Super Cup, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 51%
+64% / +64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+23% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.60 xG 1.20
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
210 Passes 461
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.02.2026 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
14.09.2025 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
02.06.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-2 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
07.04.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
04.11.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-2 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
03.10.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
0-1
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg edged past Baltika Kaliningrad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Baltika Kaliningrad had 64% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 36%, shots finished 8-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 1.33 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Super Cup on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 26%, draw 29%, Zenit St. Petersburg 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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