Fethiyespor 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.46
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+8.1pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.5pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fethiyespor EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 54%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.58/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.85/1.88
+10% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +140% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fethiyespor
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
03.02.2019 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 2-0 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük S2-K
15.09.2018 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 3-1 HT 2-0 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor S2-K
10.03.2018 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-1 HT 0-0 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor S2-B
15.01.2017 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-1 HT 0-1 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor S2-B
03.09.2016 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 2-1 HT 0-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük S2-B
30.11.2014 Fethiyespor Fethiyespor 2-1 HT 0-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fethiyespor
0-2
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fethiyespor vs Fatih Karagümrük
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fatih Karagümrük got the better of Fethiyespor 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fatih Karagümrük as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fethiyespor had 46% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 54%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fethiyespor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fethiyespor and 1.17 for Fatih Karagümrük.

What was the final score of Fethiyespor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Fethiyespor 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Cup on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fethiyespor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fethiyespor 34%, draw 18%, Fatih Karagümrük 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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