Alanyaspor 1-2 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
51%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+2.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 54%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
0.97/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.18
-32% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 470 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Galatasaray
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.97 xG 2.02
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
298 Passes 461
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2026 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-1 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
26.09.2025 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
09.03.2025 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
06.10.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
15.04.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-4 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
25.11.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-0 HT 2-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
1-2
AWAY Galatasaray
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray edged past Alanyaspor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 56% of the ball to Galatasaray's 44%, shots finished 17-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Alanyaspor and 2.50 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray?

Alanyaspor 1-2 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Cup on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 28%, draw 20%, Galatasaray 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TÜK More Turkey - Cup
3 Mar 2026
13:00 Fethiyespor vs Fatih Karagümrük Analysis →
15:30 İstanbulspor vs Boluspor Analysis →
20:30 Başakşehir FK vs Trabzonspor Analysis →