Galatasaray 1-0 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.0
2-3 Goals
39%
2.07
4-5 Goals
28%
2.57
6+ Goals
14%
5.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.52
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
21.2
X/1
21%
3.63
X/2
10%
18.35
X/X
8%
8.58
2/1
8%
20.15
2/2
6%
12.9
2/X
6%
20.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
71%
-17.7pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.9pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+11.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
2.42/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.31
+15% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
34.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
24.3 Crosses 13.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Alanyaspor
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.14 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
376 Passes 365
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-4 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
25.11.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-0 HT 2-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
18.04.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-4 HT 1-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
17.01.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TÜK
23.10.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-2 HT 2-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
06.02.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
1-0
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.31 xG 0.49
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 3
398 Passes 308
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
39 Box Touches 8
32 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray squeezed past Alanyaspor 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Galatasaray had 55% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 45%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.31 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Galatasaray and 0.83 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor?

Galatasaray 1-0 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 53%, draw 23%, Alanyaspor 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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