Gaziantep FK 1-1 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 6 Oct 2024

Gaziantep FK
1-1 HT 0-1
Beşiktaş
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Gaziantep FK vs Beşiktaş Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
37%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.79
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 30% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
6.37
1/2
10%
22.7
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
8%
8.66
X/2
11%
4.18
X/X
13%
5.28
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.32
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
24%
+13.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
37%
Away Win
52%
-15.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.6pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaziantep FK v Beşiktaş — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 56%
+13% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.20/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.03
+12% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +4%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 83%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
19.7 Crosses 20.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Gaziantep FK vs Beşiktaş Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 1.51
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
234 Passes 428
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.03.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
30.10.2023 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
25.12.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
14.01.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
21.08.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
06.03.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL

Gaziantep FK 1-1 Beşiktaş — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
1-1
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.50 xG 2.19
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
248 Passes 383
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK and Beşiktaş shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 42% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 58%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.50 to 2.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.00 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Beşiktaş?

Gaziantep FK 1-1 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 37%, draw 26%, Beşiktaş 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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