Adana Demirspor 1-3 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
52%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.96
1/2 EV+ ✓
9%
22.3
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
9%
9.52
X/2
21%
4.13
X/X
6%
5.41
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.18
2/X
9%
14.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.3 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+6.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
52%
Away Win
54%
-2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 58%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.33/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+20% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.8 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 1.46
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
316 Passes 318
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
02.12.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-3 HT 1-2 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
06.03.2021 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
01.11.2020 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
04.02.2018 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
25.08.2017 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
1-3
AWAY Samsunspor
1.29 xG 1.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
223 Passes 296
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 13
10 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor beat Adana Demirspor 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Samsunspor as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 44% of the ball to Samsunspor's 56%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.29 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adana Demirspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Adana Demirspor and 1.00 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs Samsunspor?

Adana Demirspor 1-3 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 27%, draw 21%, Samsunspor 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samsunspor), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✓ Over 2.5
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